What’s next for NFTs? NFT+Defi? Tokenization? fragmentization? Peer-to-peer lending? It is actually difficult for us to say the exact time point, maybe 2023, or even longer, and it may come in the second half of 2022. So far, dozens of projects have explored this aspect. (Recap:The founder of Azuki revealed that he had operated 3 NFT projects in the past, and was refuted by the irony rug; the floor price plummeted by nearly 40%) (event background:NFTs plummeted across the board! BAYC, AZUKI and other blue-chip floor prices plummeted by more than 20% within 24 hours)
In 2020, Defi Summer.
In 2021, NFTs will shine.
In 2022, Defi will be completely extinguished, and NFT seems to have begun to die after experiencing a surge in the past few months.
202X, Defi + NFT?
It is actually difficult for us to say the exact time point, maybe 2023, or even longer, and it may come in the second half of 2022. At present, dozens of projects have launched explorations in this area. Although none of them have dominated the market at present, and there are few with high market value, the emerging track should be like this. The only thing that cannot be denied is that NFT Defi will be an inevitable trend.
Further reading:IG is about to release the NFT function! Head of Instagram: Post or share NFTs without users paying
Further reading:At the age of 12, he earned 9.5 million by selling NFTs!British boy: If you don’t exchange fiat money back, you won’t need a bank account in the future
This article will take stock of the current sub-categories of the track category, as well as relatively representative projects.
01 ERC20 tokenization
This is the simplest and crudest idea: Isn’t NFT liquidity bad? Let’s turn him into an FT, won’t it be over? !
Become FT is divided into two variants:
Transform into Dafa – NFTX
NFTX may be the easiest to understand on this track. You deposit NFT in, and I will give you a VToken (Erc20). This VToken can be sold directly to ETH on Sushiswap (with liquidity providers), and will also redeem your original NFT in the future. Or the credentials of the same series of random NFTs in the pool.
In fact, this loan that will be mentioned later is a bit similar, but the implementation method is different, and it is somewhat fragmented, because on Sushi you can buy and sell part of the Erc20 Vtoken, you can’t buy monkeys or Punks, there are long-term prospects For these two projects, you can go to Sushi to buy monkeys or part of Punk Vtoken, and you can also enjoy the value-added of these two NFTs.
What is even more commendable is that composability is much easier because of ERC20ization. Some time ago, NFTX and FutureSwap cooperated to launch blue-chip NFT-based perpetual options.
At present, the NFTX mode is one of the most intuitive and promising subdivision tracks of NFT+Defi.
Fragmentation – Franctional.art
Although NFTX is good, it is mainly aimed at floor NFTs, because if you take a high-priced rare NFT in and exchange it for Erc20 with the same floor price, wouldn’t it be a big loss~
Just like Punk, no one will throw alien punk into the pool to exchange VToken unless there is a separate alien punk pool.
And projects like Franctional are especially suitable for this kind of single, special high-priced model. Come in and agree on how many pieces (Erc20) I will split for you, and then throw them on Dex, which not only plays a role in pricing, but also releases liquidity. What’s even more rare is that you can also gather some diehards to be a community, and conduct airdrops based on the holding of fragments, or like NFTX, you are optimistic about certain projects for a long time, but you can’t afford the whole, so it’s OK to buy some fragments for investment. .
Further reading:Welfare for old drivers｜Ai Uehara launches fragmented NFT, limited to 10,000 gifts
Further reading:The value of the fragmented “Dogecoin ancestor NFT” increased 50 times to 225 million magnesium, and tens of billions of DOG were snapped up
02 Peer-to-peer lending – representing the project NFTFI, Arcade
In the ERC20 era, peer-to-peer lending is an obsolete mechanism.
Because peer-to-peer is more like an OTC matching platform, it requires a high degree of matching on both sides, and the settings of various parameters are very complicated. It can be said that it is completely unfriendly to ordinary users, and the liquidity is also very poor.
Etherlend was almost cool when it was a peer-to-peer model, and later changed to a peer-to-peer model + changed its name to AAVE, and it skyrocketed.
However, NFTs may not be the same. NFTs have many features that FTs do not have.
In the simplest terms, Punks and monkeys cannot form a pool, and alien punks and ordinary punks cannot form a pool. The many unique rare features and pricing mechanisms of NFTs lead to many restrictions on the pool, and the liquidation in the event of a drop in the bottom price of the pool. , and it is difficult to guarantee that players can get back their original NFT. After all, this is not the fall of ETH. Which ETH you redeem in MakerDAO is the same.
Of course, what’s more important is that the current reserve price is clear, and NFTs with good liquidity can be counted in one hand. Most of the NFT liquidity is even difficult to price to get a pool.
03 Peer-to-Pool Lending – Representing Project JPEGD, Bend Dao
This is the future of NFT Defi that many people have high hopes for.
There is no other reason. Compound and AAVE hold up half the sky of Defi. Of course, people hope that there will be one or two similar platforms, similar models, and similar achievements in the field of NFT lending.
The gameplay of peer-to-peer lending is basically the same, limited by the current NFT blue-chip and liquidity constraints, basically everyone is doing loans for several projects such as Punk, Monkey, Azuki, Dooodle, and other NFT projects, basically Not eligible to open the pool…
Of course, there are differences. For example, JPEGD owns a PUSD, and there is a pool on Curve. After your NFT is deposited, it will give you PUSD. They also have an insurance mechanism to ensure that users can redeem themselves in the future. The NFT is also quite innovative.
BendDao steals Curve’s Ve model, which directly raises the level of governance. If the project really becomes the leader in the NFT lending field in the future and more NFT blue chips emerge in the future, will there be a BendWar? This is still a bit of a wait-and-see.
04 Pricing – Representing projects Chainlink, Abacus
The hard part of NFT Defiization is – how to price NFT?
At present, most projects are very simple and rude to use an oracle like Chainlink to get the floor price directly from Opensea.
But there are actually many ways of pricing.
For example, NFTX, if the liquidity of ERC20 is sufficient, it is completely possible to set the reserve price of the pool through the exchange game.
Franctional.Art can set the price of a single complete NFT through the exchange game of fragments.
There are also pricing projects like Abacus, which have also invented two unique pricing methods. One is an industry evaluation similar to CCTV’s “Treasure Hunt”, and the other is an extremely complex option + Dutch auction model, both of which are only suitable for a single NFT. Here Due to the limited space, I will not start talking about it. Those who are interested can search for information on their own.
In addition, there are various mechanisms such as weighted average price and AI algorithm pricing, all of which are being explored.
NFT Defi is still in a very, very early era.
After all, NFT itself has only been popular for a year. It is still in the early stage, and there are only a few blue chips.
This also leads to a situation where there are too many wolves and few meat. There are dozens of NFT Defi projects, and almost all of them are focusing on blue chips, and there are only 5 or 6 blue chips, and each address is around 4,5,000. , that is to say, the number of people who hold these blue chips is at most 20,000 or 30,000. In addition, the addresses of several blue-chip owners overlap and some players have multiple addresses. The real holders of these 5 or 6 blue-chips are estimated to be Just 1-2 million.
Although NFT option contracts or fragmentation should be able to be extended to non-holder users, as mentioned above, these ERC20-based, lending mainstream NFT projects are basically competing for these 20,000 “big players”. ” In other words, even if you are number one on the track, the current ceiling is the number of users. Compared with Uniswap, the number of users like AAVE is completely different from the same order of magnitude.
Defiization of NFT may depend more on the development of NFT itself, rather than the development of NFT+DEfi. After all, the art category in the NFT field is declining, and no one cares. The music category has never been popular, and only those few are really popular. A small picture + the pie of the metaverse drawn for you behind the small picture.
When everything is NFT, NFT Defi will naturally grow into a towering tree.
2023, 2024? We will wait and see!
The value of the fragmented “Dogecoin ancestor NFT” increased 50 times to 225 million magnesium, and tens of billions of DOG were snapped up
Interpretation | The next general trend of the NFT market: Fragmentation, but may be regarded as “securities” after being warned many times?
Azuki once fell to the altar because of “black history”: the founder left halfway, tens of thousands of users questioned and blamed, and the reason for panic was analyzed
Central Bank Digital Currency｜Deputy Director of Taiwan’s Central Bank Business: CBDC is the future, and the problem of payment fragmentation must be eradicated
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