Ethereum price erased most of the gains it made in 2021 as concerns about digital currencies rose. The coin dropped to a year-to-date low of $881 in June and then started a slow recovery that saw it rise above $2,000 in August. ETH was trading at $1,703 on Friday, which was about 93% above the lowest level this year.
Ethereum Merge is the main catalyst
Ethereum price has staged a strong recovery in the past few weeks as investors focus on the upcoming merger event. This will be the biggest transition in the blockchain industry as it will see the network move from a proof-of-work into a proof-of-stake platform. It will merge the current version with the Beacon Chain.
As a result, Ethereum mining will not be possible. Instead, the network will use a set of validators to confirm or deny transactions. In addition, the new network will set the stage for more upgrades in the future that will make Ethereum faster and more cost-effective. For example, Ethereum will introduce sharding, a technology that has been used by blockchains like Elrond and Near Protocol.
Historically, cryptocurrencies tend to rally towards a major upgrade or event. For example, Bitcoin tends to always rally ahead of a halving event. Still, it is still unclear whether ETH will continue rising after the merger.
Ethereum price, like other cryptocurrencies, is also being affected by other factors. Like Bitcoin, the coin is being affected by Fed’s monetary policies. This year, the bank has maintained an extremely hawkish tone that has seen it raise interest rates by 225 basis points and start a quantitative tightening policy.
In addition, Ethereum’s ecosystem has been shrinking. The total value locked (TVL) in its DeFi ecosystem has fallen while the value of NFT trades has fallen sharply.
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Ethereum price prediction
The daily chart shows that Ethereum price has been in a strong bullish trend in the past few weeks. Along the way, it managed to move above the important resistance level at $1,281, which was the highest level on June 26.
The pair has also moved above the 25-day and 50-day moving averages, which is a bullish sign. However, a closer look shows that it has formed a small head and shoulders pattern. Therefore, the coin will likely retreat in the coming weeks as investors sell the fact. If this happens, the next key reference level will be at $1,281.